Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPL39239
Tapis de Yoga - Sport - 140x50cm - 6,5mm d'épaisseur - Confort et adhérence - Usage régulier
longtail
3P
FITNESS - MUSCULATION
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
44
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 95
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAPL39239
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tapis de Yoga - Sport - 140x50cm - 6,5mm d'épaisseur - Confort et adhérence - Usage régulier · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (420 days of history, 29 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.38 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.9K |