Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPJ35978
Organisateur Carré Transparent 7,6cm BNM-8991
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
273
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
59
≈ 44.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 4
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-26
AAAPJ35978
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 189 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Organisateur Carré Transparent 7,6cm BNM-8991 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +85.7% · on-hand 60 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (469 days of history, 67 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 24.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 79.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 54.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 189.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 669 |