Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPJ35956
Organisateur Carré Transparent 15cm BNM-9035
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
279
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
21
≈ 20.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAAPJ35956
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 91 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Organisateur Carré Transparent 15cm BNM-9035 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 21 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (420 days of history, 53 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 90.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 663 |