Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPJ35914
3 CINTRES EN PLASTIQUE EFFET BOIS MARRON KRN-126
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
37
≈ 13.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-14
AAAPJ35914
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 364 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
3 CINTRES EN PLASTIQUE EFFET BOIS MARRON KRN-126 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 37 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (357 days of history, 133 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.09 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 80.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 25.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 125.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 364.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |