Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPI52680
Support TV fixe - 43"-100" - TB0124A MGS
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 94.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
1
≈ 2.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 116
avg of last 9 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAPI52680
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support TV fixe - 43"-100" - TB0124A MGS · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -94.1% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (371 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.60 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 7.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 66.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.7K |