Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPI50966
Bol en verre - GENERIC - AF-140(D1) - Lot de 2 - 530 ml - Résistant et élégant
longtail
1P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
8
≈ 7.6 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 8
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAPI50966
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 142 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bol en verre - GENERIC - AF-140(D1) - Lot de 2 - 530 ml - Résistant et élégant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 142.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |