Demand Forecast

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Gobelets en papier - 50 gobelets - 18 cl - Blanc - Écologiques et pratiques
SKU · AAAPH21179

Gobelets en papier - 50 gobelets - 18 cl - Blanc - Écologiques et pratiques

longtail 1P VAISSELLE JETABLE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▲ 350.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

96
≈ 36.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-28

AAAPH21179

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 132 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gobelets en papier - 50 gobelets - 18 cl - Blanc - Écologiques et pratiques · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +350.0% · on-hand 96 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)34.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)132.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.7K