Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPH16553
Créatine monohydrate Applied Nutrition - Creatine Monohydrate Micronized - Saveur neutre 500g
longtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 5 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 516
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-04-11
AAAPH16553
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Créatine monohydrate Applied Nutrition - Creatine Monohydrate Micronized - Saveur neutre 500g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 21.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 32.5K |