Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPF80916
Hiro.Lab - Complément Vitamine D3 4000 UI + K2 MK7 – 160 Comprimés – Synergie Haute Absorption
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 82.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 156
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-27
AAAPF80916
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 146 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Hiro.Lab - Complément Vitamine D3 4000 UI + K2 MK7 – 160 Comprimés – Synergie Haute Absorption · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -82.4% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (497 days of history, 74 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 69.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.8K |