Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPE76658
ULTRA DOUX - HAIRFOOD PINEAPPLE - 390 ml
midtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
386
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
216
≈ 37.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 67
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAAPE76658
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ULTRA DOUX - HAIRFOOD PINEAPPLE - 390 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 216 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (539 days of history, 196 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 56.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 143.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.6K |