Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPE06232
Disques de Coton - Non spécifié - 70pcs - Doux - Résistants - Idéaux pour le démaquillage
midtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAAPE06232
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Disques de Coton - Non spécifié - 70pcs - Doux - Résistants - Idéaux pour le démaquillage · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (504 days of history, 203 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.17 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 24 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 69.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.0K |