Demand Forecast

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Sérum - HA Pure - Shampooing - 200 ML - Hydratation - Revitalisant - Tous types de cheveux
SKU · AAAPD41021

Sérum - HA Pure - Shampooing - 200 ML - Hydratation - Revitalisant - Tous types de cheveux

longtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

47
≈ 37.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 89
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-30

AAAPD41021

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Sérum - HA Pure - Shampooing - 200 ML - Hydratation - Revitalisant - Tous types de cheveux · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 47 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (385 days of history, 43 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)17.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)61.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.5K