Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPD01916
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Soundcore - Life U2i - Réduction de Bruit cVc 8.0 - Autonomie 24h - IPX7
longtail
1P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
28
▲ 833.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
230
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
230
≈ 240.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 124
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAAPD01916
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Soundcore - Life U2i - Réduction de Bruit cVc 8.0 - Autonomie 24h - IPX7 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 28 units, trending up +833.3% · on-hand 230 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (490 days of history, 52 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.93 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 28 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 9.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.5K |