Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPB40263
Projecteur - Xiaomi - Smart Projector L1 - Full HD 1080p - Projection jusqu'à 120 - Blanc
longtail
1P
VIDEOPROJECTION
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 1.8K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-19
AAAPB40263
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 166 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Projecteur - Xiaomi - Smart Projector L1 - Full HD 1080p - Projection jusqu'à 120 - Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (315 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 166.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 291.8K |