Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPB40263
Projecteur - Xiaomi - Smart Projector L1 - Full HD 1080p - Projection jusqu'à 120 - Blanc
longtail
1P
VIDEOPROJECTION
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 77.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
1
≈ 0.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL
Unit price
MAD 1.7K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-27
AAAPB40263
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Projecteur - Xiaomi - Smart Projector L1 - Full HD 1080p - Projection jusqu'à 120 - Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -77.8% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (266 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 90.0K |