Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAPA07225
Huile de Neem - PALMARÈS DES TERROIRS MAROCAINS - 60 ml - 100% Naturel - Anti chute - Anti acné
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 1200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
26
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-13
AAAPA07225
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Huile de Neem - PALMARÈS DES TERROIRS MAROCAINS - 60 ml - 100% Naturel - Anti chute - Anti acné · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +1200.0% · on-hand 26 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 25 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.32 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 63.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.2K |