Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOZ94787
ADIDAS - Sac à dos Pour Enfants 11,5 L - LK BP 3BAR - Unisexe - Noir
longtail
1P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
167
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
167
≈ 79.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 164
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAOZ94787
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 160 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS - Sac à dos Pour Enfants 11,5 L - LK BP 3BAR - Unisexe - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 168 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 130 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 72.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 159.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.3K |