Demand Forecast

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ADIDAS - Sac à dos Pour Enfants 11,5 L - LK BP 3BAR - Unisexe - Noir
SKU · AAAOZ94787

ADIDAS - Sac à dos Pour Enfants 11,5 L - LK BP 3BAR - Unisexe - Noir

longtail 1P MAROQUINERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 37.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

172
≈ 77.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 164
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAOZ94787

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 134 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

ADIDAS - Sac à dos Pour Enfants 11,5 L - LK BP 3BAR - Unisexe - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -37.5% · on-hand 172 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (371 days of history, 119 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks14.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months40.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)39.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)134.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 22.0K