Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOY82685
Tasse Double Paroi - Verre - 50ml - Résistante à la chaleur - Design unique - Transparent
hero
3P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
500
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-11
AAAOY82685
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 513 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tasse Double Paroi - Verre - 50ml - Résistante à la chaleur - Design unique - Transparent · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 500 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (490 days of history, 228 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 20.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 65.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 199.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 31.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 135.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 513.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.3K |