Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOY82667
Boite en Plastique - Non spécifié - Lot de 3 - 250 ml - Transparent - Réutilisables et empilables
longtail
3P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-70.6%
vs same 4w last year (17 units)
Current stock
40
≈ 16.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 6
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2025-12-18
AAAOY82667
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 123 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boite en Plastique - Non spécifié - Lot de 3 - 250 ml - Transparent - Réutilisables et empilables · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 40 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (441 days of history, 96 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 33.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 122.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 782 |