Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOY82658
Porte papier essuie-tout - Non spécifié - Gris ou Blanc - Plastique résistant - Antidérapant - Contemporain
midtail
3P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-97.6%
vs same 4w last year (42 units)
Current stock
30
≈ 9.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 6
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAAOY82658
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 125 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Porte papier essuie-tout - Non spécifié - Gris ou Blanc - Plastique résistant - Antidérapant - Contemporain · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (441 days of history, 113 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 23.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 125.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 759 |