Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOY82638
Pots en Verre - Non spécifié - Lot de 6 - 250 ml - Couvercles hermétiques - Design élégant - Models aléatoires
hero
3P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▲ 433.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
75
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAOY82638
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 533 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pots en Verre - Non spécifié - Lot de 6 - 250 ml - Couvercles hermétiques - Design élégant - Models aléatoires · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending up +433.3% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (581 days of history, 607 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.65 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 164.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 50.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 533.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 9.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.4K |