Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOY82638
Pots en Verre - Non spécifié - Lot de 6 - 250 ml - Couvercles hermétiques - Design élégant - Models aléatoires
hero
3P
USTENSILES DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
23
▼ 41.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+109.1%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)
Current stock
200
≈ 18.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 39
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOY82638
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 262 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pots en Verre - Non spécifié - Lot de 6 - 250 ml - Couvercles hermétiques - Design élégant - Models aléatoires · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 23 units, trending down -41.0% · on-hand 200 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (462 days of history, 630 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.54 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 23 units · prev 4w = 39 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 29.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 76.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 87.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 261.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.3K |