Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOX14052
Savon liquide - LPM - Antibactérien - 300 ml - 1 flacon gratuit
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
30
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
31
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAOX14052
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 408 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Savon liquide - LPM - Antibactérien - 300 ml - 1 flacon gratuit · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 30 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (378 days of history, 186 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 30 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 34.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 155.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 84.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 408.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.4K |