Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAOX13129
Paniers de Rangement Rectangulaires – Pliables – Tissu Respirant – Pack de 2
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▼ 9.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+566.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
56
≈ 28.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 52
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAOX13129
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 91 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Paniers de Rangement Rectangulaires – Pliables – Tissu Respirant – Pack de 2 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending down -9.1% · on-hand 56 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (420 days of history, 112 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 90.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.7K |