Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOW15044
Casque sans fil stéréo - P9 - Bluetooth 5.0 - Micro intégré - Lecteur MP3 - Appels mains libres
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 52.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10,002
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOW15044
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 92 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque sans fil stéréo - P9 - Bluetooth 5.0 - Micro intégré - Lecteur MP3 - Appels mains libres · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -52.9% · on-hand 10002 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 53 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 32.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 91.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.4K |