Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOW14944
Gaufrier - Plaque Anti-Adhésive - 2 Gaufres - Voyant de Cuisson - Couleur et modèle aléatoire.
longtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 199
avg of last 15 sells · latest 2026-06-22
AAAOW14944
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 35 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gaufrier - Plaque Anti-Adhésive - 2 Gaufres - Voyant de Cuisson - Couleur et modèle aléatoire. · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (413 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.25 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 34.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.0K |