Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOW12376
Étagère de Salle de Bain Olivia SP301 - Couleur aléatoire
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE SALLE DE BAIN
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
94
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
11
≈ 32.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-04-19
AAAOW12376
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 51 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Étagère de Salle de Bain Olivia SP301 - Couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 11 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 768 |