Demand Forecast

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Signal – Dentifrice 120 ml – Hygiène bucco‑dentaire – Offre spéciale 2+1
SKU · AAAOW12366

Signal – Dentifrice 120 ml – Hygiène bucco‑dentaire – Offre spéciale 2+1

longtail 3P DENTAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

16
▲ 1500.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

183
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30

AAAOW12366

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 508 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Signal – Dentifrice 120 ml – Hygiène bucco‑dentaire – Offre spéciale 2+1 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending up +1500.0% · on-hand 195 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (518 days of history, 144 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 2.08 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week9.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks40.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months157.9 units
Optimistic — next week25.1 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)122.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)508.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)5.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.3K