Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOU60429
Karaoké - Citytek - MF109351 - 2 Micros Inclus - 10W - Bluetooth Sans Fil
longtail
1P + 3P
AMPLIFICATION ET RESTITUTION DU SON
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
22
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
12
≈ 46.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 213
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-09-12
AAAOU60429
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 32 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Karaoké - Citytek - MF109351 - 2 Micros Inclus - 10W - Bluetooth Sans Fil · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.32 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 1.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 32.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |