Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOU60426
Citytek - Rasoir Anti-Bouloches MF109246 - Compact et Sans Fil - Design Ergonomique
longtail
1P + 3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
17
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
6
≈ 2.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-06
AAAOU60426
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 148 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Citytek - Rasoir Anti-Bouloches MF109246 - Compact et Sans Fil - Design Ergonomique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (511 days of history, 119 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 148.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.0K |