Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOU60426
Citytek - Rasoir Anti-Bouloches MF109246 - Compact et Sans Fil - Design Ergonomique
longtail
1P + 3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
23
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
11
≈ 5.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-25
AAAOU60426
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 133 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Citytek - Rasoir Anti-Bouloches MF109246 - Compact et Sans Fil - Design Ergonomique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (497 days of history, 121 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 52.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 132.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.4K |