Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOU43969
Pack de 2 Cadum 380ml Argane + Gel Douche Tahiti
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
35
▲ 337.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 38
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-10
AAAOU43969
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 221 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Cadum 380ml Argane + Gel Douche Tahiti · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 35 units, trending up +337.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (553 days of history, 206 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 35 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 43.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 87.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 221.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.5K |