Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Gel nettoyant hydratant pour le visage sans parfum sans paraben - 200 ml
SKU · AAAOT15091

Gel nettoyant hydratant pour le visage sans parfum sans paraben - 200 ml

midtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-57.1%
vs same 4w last year (21 units)

Current stock

9
≈ 2.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAOT15091

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel nettoyant hydratant pour le visage sans parfum sans paraben - 200 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 9 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (441 days of history, 218 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 15 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks12.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months34.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)33.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)114.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 4.7K