Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAOT08964
Set de 10 cintres en plastique avec barre pour pantalon 39,5 cm
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
39
▲ 11.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-74.8%
vs same 4w last year (155 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 29
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOT08964
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 293 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 10 cintres en plastique avec barre pour pantalon 39,5 cm · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 39 units, trending up +11.4% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (469 days of history, 1,750 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 39 units · prev 4w = 35 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 30.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 85.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 97.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 292.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.4K |