Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOT08961
Set de 2 cintres pince-pantalon en bois 33 x 12 cm
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
91
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
23
≈ 35.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 30
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-07-19
AAAOT08961
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 2 cintres pince-pantalon en bois 33 x 12 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (455 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 38.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.2K |