Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOS58704
1pcs Tasse carrée en verre de 400ml, avec couvercle et paille, verre à lait de petit déjeuner, Transparent, pour fête, bière, café
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 81.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
34
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-16
AAAOS58704
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 157 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
1pcs Tasse carrée en verre de 400ml, avec couvercle et paille, verre à lait de petit déjeuner, Transparent, pour fête, bière, café · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -81.8% · on-hand 34 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (497 days of history, 141 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 70.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 157.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |