Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOP14338
Boîte à Fromage Décorative
midtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
-98.3%
vs same 4w last year (59 units)
Current stock
6
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 6
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-26
AAAOP14338
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 243 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte à Fromage Décorative · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (448 days of history, 62 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 46.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 242.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.5K |