Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOP12819
Verres à Eau - Y2001 - Ensemble de 6 - 260 ml - Transparent - Compatible lave-vaisselle
midtail
1P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (93 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAOP12819
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 171 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à Eau - Y2001 - Ensemble de 6 - 260 ml - Transparent - Compatible lave-vaisselle · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (427 days of history, 133 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.76 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 46.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 54.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 170.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.2K |