Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOO42107
Plateau - GENERIC - Miroir Doré - Métal - 30 cm - Assiette de présentation
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
4
≈ 9.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 50
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAAOO42107
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plateau - GENERIC - Miroir Doré - Métal - 30 cm - Assiette de présentation · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 66.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.3K |