Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOO34123
Set de Boîtes de Rangement 6 Pièces Festiva Hobby Life / 2,6+1,6+0,85+0,5+0,275+0,12 Couleur aléatoire
midtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-30.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
17
≈ 3.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAOO34123
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 250 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de Boîtes de Rangement 6 Pièces Festiva Hobby Life / 2,6+1,6+0,85+0,5+0,275+0,12 Couleur aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +40.0% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (469 days of history, 68 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.23 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 58.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 250.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.8K |