Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOM86523
Montre-bracelet à quartz à grand cadran rétro pour hommes,bracelet de sport,classique, décontracté, marron, cuir, mode masculine, en
longtail
3P
MONTRES
Last 4 weeks demand
3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 66
avg of last 13 sells · latest 2026-04-28
AAAOM86523
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 48 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Montre-bracelet à quartz à grand cadran rétro pour hommes,bracelet de sport,classique, décontracté, marron, cuir, mode masculine, en · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (483 days of history, 16 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 48.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |