Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOK28017
Papier cuisson - M12 - 50 feuilles - 20,5x14 cm - Beige - Friteuse à air
longtail
1P + 3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
42
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
12
≈ 21.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 32
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-07-20
AAAOK28017
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Papier cuisson - M12 - 50 feuilles - 20,5x14 cm - Beige - Friteuse à air · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 28 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |