Demand Forecast

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Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant Visage à la Vitamine C et Niacinamide, Tout types de peaux, 400 ml
SKU · AAAOK15840

Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant Visage à la Vitamine C et Niacinamide, Tout types de peaux, 400 ml

midtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-50.0%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

998
≈ 324.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 57
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAOK15840

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel Nettoyant Éclaircissant Visage à la Vitamine C et Niacinamide, Tout types de peaux, 400 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 998 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (469 days of history, 144 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months30.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)117.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.7K