Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOH85715
Lot de 4 bandes adhésives en papier anti-moustiques non toxiques respectueux de l'environnement
longtail
3P
INSECTICIDE - RATICIDE
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▲ 333.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
37
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAOH85715
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 168 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 4 bandes adhésives en papier anti-moustiques non toxiques respectueux de l'environnement · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending up +333.3% · on-hand 37 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (441 days of history, 41 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 50.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 59.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 168.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.5K |