Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOG35189
3 BOITES RANGEMENT PEGGY 800ML/1,3L/2,3L BNM-0537 Couleur aléatoire
midtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
154
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
99
≈ 26.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 18
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAOG35189
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 429 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
3 BOITES RANGEMENT PEGGY 800ML/1,3L/2,3L BNM-0537 Couleur aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 99 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (588 days of history, 236 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.54 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 124.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 428.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.8K |