Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOG35189
3 BOITES RANGEMENT PEGGY 800ML/1,3L/2,3L BNM-0537 Couleur aléatoire
midtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 250.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
167
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
103
≈ 24.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AAAOG35189
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 171 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
3 BOITES RANGEMENT PEGGY 800ML/1,3L/2,3L BNM-0537 Couleur aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +250.0% · on-hand 103 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (525 days of history, 275 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.50 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 18.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 70.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 170.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.3K |