Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOF83866
Robot 5 fonctions Kröhler - 1.0L - Puissance 450W - Noir
hero
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
145
≈ 12.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 194
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOF83866
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 230 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Robot 5 fonctions Kröhler - 1.0L - Puissance 450W - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 145 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (371 days of history, 609 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 44.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 66.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 229.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 44.5K |