Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Montre Connectée 4G Enfant avec GPS et Support Carte SIM – Suivi en Temps Réel & Appels Vidéo
SKU · AAAOE52873

Montre Connectée 4G Enfant avec GPS et Support Carte SIM – Suivi en Temps Réel & Appels Vidéo

midtail 3P MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

13
▲ 18.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+550.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)

Current stock

45
≈ 14.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 165
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAOE52873

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Montre Connectée 4G Enfant avec GPS et Support Carte SIM – Suivi en Temps Réel & Appels Vidéo · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +18.2% · on-hand 45 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (483 days of history, 205 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 11 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months32.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)32.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)110.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 18.3K