Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOD70423
Tapis de voiture - GENERIC - YHA1378A - 4 pièces - Antidérapants - Faciles à nettoyer
longtail
1P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▲ 63.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+500.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAOD70423
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tapis de voiture - GENERIC - YHA1378A - 4 pièces - Antidérapants - Faciles à nettoyer · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending up +63.6% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (469 days of history, 117 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.99 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 114.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.4K |