Demand Forecast

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Kit pommeau de douche - GENERIC - M24 SB0117 - Tuyau 1,5m - Plastique - Installation facile
SKU · AAAOD70398

Kit pommeau de douche - GENERIC - M24 SB0117 - Tuyau 1,5m - Plastique - Installation facile

longtail 1P SANITAIRE - PLOMBERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

65
Σ Stock across 3 live offers

1P stock

20
≈ 41.2 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot

Unit price

MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAOD70398

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Kit pommeau de douche - GENERIC - M24 SB0117 - Tuyau 1,5m - Plastique - Installation facile · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 20 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (448 days of history, 32 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months17.2 units
Optimistic — next week4.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)18.3 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)67.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.8K