Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOC85156
2 pcs Mini Poubelle,Poubelle de Voiture Multifonction,Imperméable, Maison, Bureau et Cuisine
longtail
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 101
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAOC85156
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 36 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
2 pcs Mini Poubelle,Poubelle de Voiture Multifonction,Imperméable, Maison, Bureau et Cuisine · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (469 days of history, 10 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.33 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 36.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.6K |