Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAOC85033
Sac de rangement - Non spécifié - Grande capacité - Tissu spunbond - Pliable - Avec fenêtre transparente
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 72.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
237
≈ 104.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAOC85033
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac de rangement - Non spécifié - Grande capacité - Tissu spunbond - Pliable - Avec fenêtre transparente · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -72.5% · on-hand 237 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (371 days of history, 120 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 40 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 40.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 143.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |