Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOC77860
Boîte de rangement - Poly Line - BNM-7536 - 2 L - Plastique transparent - Design élégant
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
53
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
13
≈ 11.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-08
AAAOC77860
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 138 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - Poly Line - BNM-7536 - 2 L - Plastique transparent - Design élégant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (490 days of history, 74 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.76 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 62.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 138.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.4K |