Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOC77860
Boîte de rangement - Poly Line - BNM-7536 - 2 L - Plastique transparent - Design élégant
longtail
1P + 3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 500.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
40
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
7
≈ 7.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-09
AAAOC77860
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 40 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - Poly Line - BNM-7536 - 2 L - Plastique transparent - Design élégant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +500.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 76 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.72 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 40.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 412 |