Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOB04430
Poubelle 20L avec Pédale A1/M4 SB0115
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
25
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 77.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 136
avg of last 8 sells · latest 2026-07-22
AAAOB04430
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Poubelle 20L avec Pédale A1/M4 SB0115 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.39 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |